Market Cap 20.04B
Revenue (ttm) 5.14B
Net Income (ttm) 1.29B
EPS (ttm) N/A
PE Ratio 15.28
Forward PE 14.65
Profit Margin 25.03%
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.00
Volume 1,584,900
Avg Vol 1,503,192
Day's Range N/A - N/A
Shares Out 199.78M
Stochastic %K 53%
Beta 0.79
Analysts Sell
Price Target $110.09

Company Profile

Incyte Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics in the United States, Europe, Canada, and Japan. The company offers JAKAFI for the treatment of myelofibrosis (MF), polycythemia vera, and steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease; ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia; MONJUVI/ MINJUVI for the treatment of diffuse large B-...

Industry: Biotechnology
Sector: Healthcare
Phone: 302 498 6700
Address:
1801 Augustine Cut-Off, Wilmington, United States
Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 13 at 2:58 AM
$INCY 3/31/2026 net cash/debt is 2.24X higher than $SNDX 5/12/26 market cap. INCY disclosed their risk-free interest rate on their cash at year end was 4.1%. Ignoring the obvious synergy Revuforj revenues adds to soften the Jakafi patent cliff, INCY's cash hoarde may start to become a meaningful drag on ROE & ROA. Does KURA's Q126 revenues make a INCY/SNDX transaction more or less likely? We suspect, all things considered, more likely but WTF do we know. This is not investment advice.
0 · Reply
Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 9 at 2:01 AM
$SNDX fully diluted shares, market cap & enterprise value using SNDX's 3/31/26 cap table. Also attached is a comparison of SNDX's valuation related revenue multiples v 15 peer comm'l-stage M&A exits. These may or may not be good peers/comps for SNDX. You decide for yourself. Note the median peer 5-year M&A revenue multiple = 0.90X. If SNDX 5-year analyst consensus is credible AND if SNDX was acquired for a 0.90X 5-year multiple (2 HUGE IFs) then SNDX would hypothetically be worth $3.4B in M&A EV (MC slightly higher). This would be ~$34.50 per share using SNDX's 3/31/26 cap table. Would SNDX merit a higher multiple from $INCY since SNDX's revenue forecast reflects collaboration revenues at 25-30% of Niktimvo sales? Would any other acquirer pay a premium multiple? We do not find SNDX FY31-32 revenue estimates to be credible but if they were & SNDX was acquired for the median peer 7-year multiple of 0.56X that would be $4.2B in EV, a much bigger number This is not investment advice. $XBI $IBB
1 · Reply
CapitalMonk
CapitalMonk May. 6 at 9:19 PM
$INCY Price: $99.85 (+2.44%) Trend: Bullish Market Bias (7D): Bearish Bias 📉 Expected Range: ±0.16% RSI: 61.6 | Momentum: Moderate Volume: -17.6% vs avg Volatility: 1.67% Support: $92.79 | Resistance: $102.86 Tools used: https://www.trade-ideas.com Code: INTERSTOCK25
0 · Reply
Quantumup
Quantumup May. 6 at 10:24 AM
Citizens⬆️ $AVTX's PT to $62 (was $52),⬆️PoA to 70%, reiterated at Market Outperform, and said: Positive Phase 2 results for abdakibart in HS provide clear support for blockbuster potential. $NVS $INCY ABBV MLTX UCBJY Citizens added—On Tuesday, Avalo announced positive results from the Phase 2 trial evaluating abdakibart in patients with moderate-to-severe hidradenitis suppurativa. We view the magnitude of benefit (~17% placebo-adjusted HiSCR75 responder rate) as robust and competitive. Furthermore, the HiSCR75 endpoint met the threshold of success (15%-25%) noted by KOL Dr. David Rosmarin on our recent preview call (see our note here). The company stated that the safety and tolerability profile of abdakibart was favorable and, most importantly in our view, there were no adverse events related to neutropenia, serious infections, or opportunistic infections. We have increased our probability of approval for abdakibart in HS from 55% to 70%, driving our increased price target.
0 · Reply
BillionerOfKing
BillionerOfKing May. 5 at 7:40 PM
$INCY Current Stock Price: $97.40 Contracts to trade: $95.0 INCY May 15 2026 Call Entry: $2.70 Exit: $3.69 ROI: 37% Hold ~20 days Shared as daily free alerts and for educational purposes only. https://dailypickai.com/freealerts
0 · Reply
vjtweet
vjtweet May. 5 at 2:45 AM
$INCY time to go long.
0 · Reply
Quantumup
Quantumup May. 4 at 10:44 AM
Jefferies⬇️ $SNDX to $37 from $40—reitd Buy—noted revuforj rev miss was due2 approx 50% of KMT2A pts going2transplant—on the other✋🏼the major silver lining is that these revs should come back over time w/ post-transplant maint+NPM1 pt adds growing nicely. $KURA $INCY Stifel⬆️ $SNDX PT to $46 from $45 and reiterated at a Buy.rating. Here's what Stifel had to say in its note to investors: https://x.com/Quantumup1/status/2051250998098673878?s=20
0 · Reply
BioTechHealthX
BioTechHealthX May. 3 at 3:19 PM
$INCY Incyte Corporation (NASDAQ:INCY) faces a looming patent expiry, but its expanding pipeline and promising Phase 3 data could reshape its future—here’s why analysts remain bullish. https://biotechhealthx.com/biotech-news/is-it-safe-to-invest-in-incyte-corporation-incy-today/
0 · Reply
Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 3 at 3:09 PM
Attached is a history of the royalty accrual $SNDX is required to record as an estimate of the amounts they will owe $RPRX over the following 12-months. Be careful to simply take the accrual & divide by 13.8% because there may be minor details around the agreement that have not been disclosed. All we know with certainty is SNDX increased the interest rate on the RPRX transaction at the end of FY25. We're not experts but it is our experience (again without knowing the exact details), by itself, the higher rate means actual Niktimvo sales have been much higher than originally forecast. Again by itself, this is a good thing for Niktimvo valuation. This is also consistent with RPRX's 9/2025 report to its shareholders that Niktimvo projected 5-year sales as of 9/2025 were 98% higher than the same 5-year projection at the time RPRX made the investment in 11/2024. $INCY sells Niktimvo As always, we could be wrong. This is not investment advice. $XBI $IBB
0 · Reply
Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 2 at 2:28 AM
$SNDX is off 24% from its $25/share close 1 month ago. All we read about are analysts increasing their SNDX target prices. As important, for the first time in 6 months, longer-term SNDX analyst consensus have risen dramatically. For perspective, SNDX FY29 consensus was $950MM 4 months ago then steadily moved lower to $890MM just last weekend. However, just before SNDX Q126 CC, Seeking Aplha reported SNDX FY29 aka "Year 4" consensus was now $1.03B (ave of 5 analysts). Recall Centerview Partners usually alludes to Year 4 M&A multiples ranging from 2.3 to 5.3X in their fairness opinions in peer M&A. Put simplest, if SNDX FY29/Year 4 revenues of $1.03B are credible AND if SNDX drugs merit peer multiples (2 HUGE IFs), imagine a 4.0X+ Year 4 M&A multiple on SNDX. The attachment compares SNDX 5 & 10-year revenue multiples to 12 peers who were acquired between 9 & 32 months post FDA approval. Compare SNDX's current 5-year multiples to the 12 exits. This is not investment advice. $XBI $IBB $INCY
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Latest News on INCY
Incyte announces FDA approval of Jakari XR

2026-05-01T21:30:21.000Z - 11 days ago

Incyte announces FDA approval of Jakari XR


Incyte price target raised to $90 from $84 at Oppenheimer

2026-04-29T12:07:20.000Z - 13 days ago

Incyte price target raised to $90 from $84 at Oppenheimer


Incyte to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences

Apr 29, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT - 13 days ago

Incyte to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences


Incyte price target raised to $123 from $120 at Stifel

2026-04-29T11:28:10.000Z - 14 days ago

Incyte price target raised to $123 from $120 at Stifel


Incyte price target raised to $124 from $121 at BofA

2026-04-29T10:39:13.000Z - 14 days ago

Incyte price target raised to $124 from $121 at BofA


Incyte Earnings Call Transcript: Q1 2026

Apr 28, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT - 14 days ago

Incyte Earnings Call Transcript: Q1 2026


Incyte sees FY26 revenue $4.77B-$4.94B, consensus $5.57B

2026-04-28T11:49:31.000Z - 15 days ago

Incyte sees FY26 revenue $4.77B-$4.94B, consensus $5.57B


Incyte appoints Suketu Upadhyay as CFO

2026-04-28T11:10:20.000Z - 15 days ago

Incyte appoints Suketu Upadhyay as CFO


Incyte reports Q1 EPS $1.81, consensus $1.34

2026-04-28T11:08:35.000Z - 15 days ago

Incyte reports Q1 EPS $1.81, consensus $1.34


Incyte to Report First Quarter Financial Results

Apr 9, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT - 4 weeks ago

Incyte to Report First Quarter Financial Results


Incyte price target raised to $95 from $92 at RBC Capital

2026-04-07T15:11:40.000Z - 5 weeks ago

Incyte price target raised to $95 from $92 at RBC Capital


Incyte price target lowered to $94 from $104 at UBS

2026-03-25T13:37:41.000Z - 6 weeks ago

Incyte price target lowered to $94 from $104 at UBS


Incyte appoints Stein as Chief Medical Officer, Issa as EVP

2026-03-25T13:10:46.000Z - 6 weeks ago

Incyte appoints Stein as Chief Medical Officer, Issa as EVP


Incyte Announces Executive Leadership Appointments

Mar 25, 2026, 9:00 AM EDT - 6 weeks ago

Incyte Announces Executive Leadership Appointments


Incyte downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies

2026-03-16T09:20:15.000Z - 2 months ago

Incyte downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies


Incyte Transcript: Leerink Global Healthcare Conference 2026

Mar 10, 2026, 9:20 AM EDT - 2 months ago

Incyte Transcript: Leerink Global Healthcare Conference 2026


Incyte announces European Commission approval of Zynyz

2026-03-06T21:50:14.000Z - 2 months ago

Incyte announces European Commission approval of Zynyz


Incyte Transcript: TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference

Mar 2, 2026, 10:30 AM EST - 2 months ago

Incyte Transcript: TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference


Incyte Earnings Call Transcript: Q4 2025

Feb 10, 2026, 8:00 AM EST - 3 months ago

Incyte Earnings Call Transcript: Q4 2025


Incyte Transcript: 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference

Jan 12, 2026, 11:15 AM EST - 4 months ago

Incyte Transcript: 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference


Incyte to Present at Upcoming Investor Conference

Dec 18, 2025, 8:00 AM EST - 5 months ago

Incyte to Present at Upcoming Investor Conference


Incyte Announces Change to its Board of Directors

Dec 12, 2025, 8:30 AM EST - 5 months ago

Incyte Announces Change to its Board of Directors


Incyte Transcript: Status Update

Dec 7, 2025, 11:00 AM EST - 5 months ago

Incyte Transcript: Status Update


Incyte Transcript: Citi Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025

Dec 2, 2025, 11:15 AM EST - 5 months ago

Incyte Transcript: Citi Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025


Incyte Transcript: Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025

Nov 18, 2025, 6:00 AM EST - 6 months ago

Incyte Transcript: Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025


Incyte Earnings Call Transcript: Q3 2025

Oct 28, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT - 7 months ago

Incyte Earnings Call Transcript: Q3 2025


Incyte Transcript: ESMO 2025 Conference

Oct 19, 2025, 1:30 PM EDT - 7 months ago

Incyte Transcript: ESMO 2025 Conference


Incyte to Report Third Quarter Financial Results

Oct 8, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT - 7 months ago

Incyte to Report Third Quarter Financial Results


Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 13 at 2:58 AM
$INCY 3/31/2026 net cash/debt is 2.24X higher than $SNDX 5/12/26 market cap. INCY disclosed their risk-free interest rate on their cash at year end was 4.1%. Ignoring the obvious synergy Revuforj revenues adds to soften the Jakafi patent cliff, INCY's cash hoarde may start to become a meaningful drag on ROE & ROA. Does KURA's Q126 revenues make a INCY/SNDX transaction more or less likely? We suspect, all things considered, more likely but WTF do we know. This is not investment advice.
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Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 9 at 2:01 AM
$SNDX fully diluted shares, market cap & enterprise value using SNDX's 3/31/26 cap table. Also attached is a comparison of SNDX's valuation related revenue multiples v 15 peer comm'l-stage M&A exits. These may or may not be good peers/comps for SNDX. You decide for yourself. Note the median peer 5-year M&A revenue multiple = 0.90X. If SNDX 5-year analyst consensus is credible AND if SNDX was acquired for a 0.90X 5-year multiple (2 HUGE IFs) then SNDX would hypothetically be worth $3.4B in M&A EV (MC slightly higher). This would be ~$34.50 per share using SNDX's 3/31/26 cap table. Would SNDX merit a higher multiple from $INCY since SNDX's revenue forecast reflects collaboration revenues at 25-30% of Niktimvo sales? Would any other acquirer pay a premium multiple? We do not find SNDX FY31-32 revenue estimates to be credible but if they were & SNDX was acquired for the median peer 7-year multiple of 0.56X that would be $4.2B in EV, a much bigger number This is not investment advice. $XBI $IBB
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CapitalMonk
CapitalMonk May. 6 at 9:19 PM
$INCY Price: $99.85 (+2.44%) Trend: Bullish Market Bias (7D): Bearish Bias 📉 Expected Range: ±0.16% RSI: 61.6 | Momentum: Moderate Volume: -17.6% vs avg Volatility: 1.67% Support: $92.79 | Resistance: $102.86 Tools used: https://www.trade-ideas.com Code: INTERSTOCK25
0 · Reply
Quantumup
Quantumup May. 6 at 10:24 AM
Citizens⬆️ $AVTX's PT to $62 (was $52),⬆️PoA to 70%, reiterated at Market Outperform, and said: Positive Phase 2 results for abdakibart in HS provide clear support for blockbuster potential. $NVS $INCY ABBV MLTX UCBJY Citizens added—On Tuesday, Avalo announced positive results from the Phase 2 trial evaluating abdakibart in patients with moderate-to-severe hidradenitis suppurativa. We view the magnitude of benefit (~17% placebo-adjusted HiSCR75 responder rate) as robust and competitive. Furthermore, the HiSCR75 endpoint met the threshold of success (15%-25%) noted by KOL Dr. David Rosmarin on our recent preview call (see our note here). The company stated that the safety and tolerability profile of abdakibart was favorable and, most importantly in our view, there were no adverse events related to neutropenia, serious infections, or opportunistic infections. We have increased our probability of approval for abdakibart in HS from 55% to 70%, driving our increased price target.
0 · Reply
BillionerOfKing
BillionerOfKing May. 5 at 7:40 PM
$INCY Current Stock Price: $97.40 Contracts to trade: $95.0 INCY May 15 2026 Call Entry: $2.70 Exit: $3.69 ROI: 37% Hold ~20 days Shared as daily free alerts and for educational purposes only. https://dailypickai.com/freealerts
0 · Reply
vjtweet
vjtweet May. 5 at 2:45 AM
$INCY time to go long.
0 · Reply
Quantumup
Quantumup May. 4 at 10:44 AM
Jefferies⬇️ $SNDX to $37 from $40—reitd Buy—noted revuforj rev miss was due2 approx 50% of KMT2A pts going2transplant—on the other✋🏼the major silver lining is that these revs should come back over time w/ post-transplant maint+NPM1 pt adds growing nicely. $KURA $INCY Stifel⬆️ $SNDX PT to $46 from $45 and reiterated at a Buy.rating. Here's what Stifel had to say in its note to investors: https://x.com/Quantumup1/status/2051250998098673878?s=20
0 · Reply
BioTechHealthX
BioTechHealthX May. 3 at 3:19 PM
$INCY Incyte Corporation (NASDAQ:INCY) faces a looming patent expiry, but its expanding pipeline and promising Phase 3 data could reshape its future—here’s why analysts remain bullish. https://biotechhealthx.com/biotech-news/is-it-safe-to-invest-in-incyte-corporation-incy-today/
0 · Reply
Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 3 at 3:09 PM
Attached is a history of the royalty accrual $SNDX is required to record as an estimate of the amounts they will owe $RPRX over the following 12-months. Be careful to simply take the accrual & divide by 13.8% because there may be minor details around the agreement that have not been disclosed. All we know with certainty is SNDX increased the interest rate on the RPRX transaction at the end of FY25. We're not experts but it is our experience (again without knowing the exact details), by itself, the higher rate means actual Niktimvo sales have been much higher than originally forecast. Again by itself, this is a good thing for Niktimvo valuation. This is also consistent with RPRX's 9/2025 report to its shareholders that Niktimvo projected 5-year sales as of 9/2025 were 98% higher than the same 5-year projection at the time RPRX made the investment in 11/2024. $INCY sells Niktimvo As always, we could be wrong. This is not investment advice. $XBI $IBB
0 · Reply
Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech May. 2 at 2:28 AM
$SNDX is off 24% from its $25/share close 1 month ago. All we read about are analysts increasing their SNDX target prices. As important, for the first time in 6 months, longer-term SNDX analyst consensus have risen dramatically. For perspective, SNDX FY29 consensus was $950MM 4 months ago then steadily moved lower to $890MM just last weekend. However, just before SNDX Q126 CC, Seeking Aplha reported SNDX FY29 aka "Year 4" consensus was now $1.03B (ave of 5 analysts). Recall Centerview Partners usually alludes to Year 4 M&A multiples ranging from 2.3 to 5.3X in their fairness opinions in peer M&A. Put simplest, if SNDX FY29/Year 4 revenues of $1.03B are credible AND if SNDX drugs merit peer multiples (2 HUGE IFs), imagine a 4.0X+ Year 4 M&A multiple on SNDX. The attachment compares SNDX 5 & 10-year revenue multiples to 12 peers who were acquired between 9 & 32 months post FDA approval. Compare SNDX's current 5-year multiples to the 12 exits. This is not investment advice. $XBI $IBB $INCY
3 · Reply
Quantumup
Quantumup May. 1 at 11:21 AM
BofA⬆️ $SNDX's PT to $29 from $28, reit'd Buy/said: While Syndax's 1Q call lacked a true headline, we nonetheless came away constructive as the company ramps its efforts over what is shaping up to be a competitive menin rollout alongside rival Kura. $KURA $INCY BofA added—Admittedly, 1Q was always unlikely to offer major insights into share dynamics (see our 1Q menin preview). That said, we thought management struck a notably confident tone, with messaging consistent with an appreciation of the levers needed to drive the launch from here—even as specifics were understandably limited. To be fair, we believe concerns about the total opportunity, long an overhang, may persist until there's appreciable penetration of 1L disease—unlikely until~2027/28. But with Revuforj's early progress tracking well, and axatilimab emerging as a potentially meaningful source of upside, we think the setup remains attractive. Reiterate Buy.
0 · Reply
BioTechHealthX
BioTechHealthX May. 1 at 5:09 AM
$ACAD $ARGX $GMAB $HALO $INCY Biotech stocks just delivered their strongest gains since the pandemic, outperforming the S&P 500. Discover the top 10 best biotech stocks to buy now based on profitability, growth, and analyst upgrades. https://biotechhealthx.com/biotech-news/top-10-best-biotech-stocks-wall-street-is-buying-aggressively-now/
0 · Reply
IN0V8
IN0V8 Apr. 29 at 4:34 PM
$INCY Oppenheimer raises target price to $90 from $84 Stifel raises target price to $123 from $120
0 · Reply
JFais
JFais Apr. 29 at 11:39 AM
$INCY moved up the timeline for Niktimvo/Jakafi 1st line GVHD readout $SNDX
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jheerdink
jheerdink Apr. 28 at 5:08 PM
$INCY https://vistapglobal.com/healthcares-quiet-rally-incyte-pfizer-eupraxia-put-some-spring-in-wall-streets-step-eprx-incy-pfe-xbi/
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Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech Apr. 28 at 1:25 PM
$INCY reported a slight decrease in Niktimvo Q1 26 sales v Q4 25. By contrast, $SNY reported slightly higher Rezurock sales in Q1 23 v Q4 22. Remember, Rezurock was approved ~4 years earlier than Niktimvo. The attached graph compares Rezurock sales by quarter (est in US dollars @ 1.1 to 1) v Niktimvo by quarter. Sanofi reports in Euros. The timing is not perfect apples to apples but it's close While the graph may appear discouraging to $SNDX investors, Niktimvo sales are still dramatically outperforming the Rezurock sales forecast KDMN provided Sanofi that was, at least partially, the basis for Sanofi's offer to buy Rezurock for $1.9B. KDMN forecast $63MM in FY22 Rezurock sales (its 1st full fiscal year). Niktimvo actual sales were $152MM in its 1st full year on the market, more than 2X+ higher than Rezurock's forecast. Does this mean Niktimvo is worth 2X+ more than Rezurock? Sanofi acquired $KDMN 7 weeks after Rezurock's FDA approval for $1.9B. Actual sales were unknown $XBI
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StocktwitsEarnings
StocktwitsEarnings Apr. 28 at 11:58 AM
$INCY Q1 '26 Earnings Results & Recap • Reported GAAP EPS of $1.52 up 85.37% YoY • Reported revenue of $1.27B up 20.87% YoY • Incyte reaffirms its fiscal year 2026 guidance, expecting total net sales between $4,770 million and $4,940 million, Jakafi net sales of $3,220 million to $3,270 million, and Opzelura net sales of $750 million to $790 million.
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Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech Apr. 27 at 11:29 PM
While investing is a marathon & not a sprint, 2 of 3 commercial-stage oncology focused bios traded lower today again while the $XBI was more or less flat. $SNDX has traded lower 6 of the last 7 trading sessions & is now off 13% from 2 Friday's ago. $INCY reports Niktimvo sales tomorrow morning. This is as potentially impactful to SNDX valuation as it gets. Otherwise, recall SNDX said they expect to record Niktimvo collaboration revenues at roughly 30% of sales. SNDX reports Revuforj sales Thursday after the close. $VSTM was off again today. VSTM's LGSOC combo sales have, and is expected to, track to or slightly above Vonjo's launch (especially if analyst estimates are credible). Vonjo was acquired for $1.7B. VSTM's fully diluted enterprise value is a hair over $400MM with a 7375 read expected this quarter. Absent VSTM management shenanigans, VSTM's risk v reward profile appears compelling. $NUVB was off 7% today. We're unaware of any news or inflection point. NUVB reports Q126 on 5/4/26
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Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech Apr. 23 at 3:59 PM
$SNDX is now (intra-day 4/23/26) off 16% from its 4/2/26 high & off $2.00+ over the last 3 trading days, though the day is far from over. As @Burning_Cash noted, historically, large drops before an earnings release are not good omens for shareholders. Worse, yesterday's large decline on 3 week high trading volumes suggest, not confirm but suggest, there was a criminal leak of insider or non-public information. There has not been a PR issued in 2 months, no SEC filing in the last 3 weeks. While a minor Q1 26 revenue miss may not appear catastrophic by itself, it could be an omen for more large drops in longer-term analysts forecast. Longer-term forecasts drive M&A exit valuations. FY29 (Year 4) consensus was $950MM ish a few months ago. FY29 (Year 4) consensus is now $890MM. Recall bankers like Centerview Partners use Year 4 multiples in fairness opinions. The flip side is, and this is not investment advice but, it may be a great time to add SNDX. $INCY $XBI $IBB
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Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech Apr. 22 at 8:34 PM
$SNDX continues to trade lower down 12.2% the last few weeks while the $XBI & $NDAQ continue to surge to nosebleed valuations. Does anyone believe this is a good omen as SNDX reports Q126 results of operations in 2 weeks? SNDX investors should be outraged if, as a result of a Q126 miss, analysts revise their SNDX forecasts lower again. We have no idea what multiple of revenue SNDX might be worth in a traditional revenue multiple formula but we do know the revenue portion of the revenue multiple formula keeps moving lower. This will inevitably lead to a lower valuation. I hope we are proven wrong. How many believe SNDX should have accepted the multiple offers received from Incyte to date? Obviously, we cannot be certain $INCY has offered to buy SNDX but we bet the odds are better than 70/30 There has not been 1, not 1, peer comm'l-stage oncology focused bio of the 61 since 1/1/13 that has gone on to develop meaningful gains for shareholders by staying independent, possibly excl BPMC
4 · Reply
Biotech_Pharma_Investor
Biotech_Pharma_Investor Apr. 21 at 10:32 AM
$PRLD Share structure: • 80,971,642 shares • 2,252,252 new pre-funded warrants • 19,532,188 outstanding pre-funded warrants • 14,727,692 options with a weighted-average exercise price of $7.68 per share • 3,575,750 options with a weighted-average exercise price of $2.30 • 9,757,734 shares of common stock reserved for future issuance • around 500K unissued restricted stock units Accounting for common shares + prefunded warrants diluted share count is around 102,756,082. which ar $4.5 corresponds to $462M MC, vs estimated cash of around $170M (year-end cash + $85,949,756.80 proceeds from offering - estimated 1st quarter operating expenses). Guided runway into the second quarter of 2028 Seems expensive given stage of clinical development. But given assets with best-in-class potential in large TAMs + the ready-to-partner DAC platform + RA funding + $INCY partnership I am too stubborn to sell any).
1 · Reply
Night_Owl_Biotech
Night_Owl_Biotech Apr. 21 at 12:57 AM
This is a dangerous time for $SNDX investors. In 8 days $INCY reports Q126 Niktimvo sales. 7 days later SNDX reports Revuforj sales. Absent wins in the clinic (rare in cancer research), its our experience actual sales v analyst expectations are the most meaningful drivers of change in valuations for comm'l-stage oncology focused bios like SNDX. The historical evidence is overwhelming shareholder value of comm'l-stage oncology focused bios like SNDX is maximized via M&A exit w/in 2 years of FDA approval. 90% of SNDX peers not sold within 2 years are sold @ meaningful losses. We've posted actuals back to 1/1/13 time & again Read our 3/28/26 post where we show SNDX's CEO only makes $81MM if SNDX is acquired for $36/sh. He makes $110MM @ $44/sh. The decision on what's best must be stressful beyond belief While the XBI has surged 7% higher over the last 12 days to 5-year highs, SNDX has traded down 5% (graph). SNDX has executed flawlessly to date. Fingers crossed on Q1... $KURA ? $XBI $IBB
1 · Reply