1-3 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF (SHY)

$TLT $SHY $SGOV $IEF META AI response on if rate cuts will happen soon Short answer: Probably not "soon" — and some forecasts now say no cuts at all in 2026. Here’s what the data is saying right now as of Aug 2026: What’s happening Fed is on pause: Rates have been held at 3.50% - 3.75% since the last cut in Dec 2025. Inflation is sticky again: May CPI was 4.2% YoY and core PCE was 4.1%. That’s well above the Fed’s 2% target. Middle East war/oil prices are keeping it elevated. Labor market is still solid: Unemployment 4.2% in June, which gives the Fed room to stay hawkish. What forecasters expect for 2026 It’s split now: Most brokerages: 0 cuts Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, JPMorgan and others now expect no policy change in 2026. A Reuters poll majority also expects the Fed to hold all year. Some still see 1-2 cuts: Citigroup and Wells Fargo see 2 cuts late in the year. The Fed’s own "dot plot" median is for just 1 quarter-point cut. A few even see hikes: BofA and Deutsche now forecast 2-3 hikes instead. Market pricing Futures markets as of early July put 0% chance of a cut in July and ∼75% chance of a hold. Some traders are even pricing in a hike by year-end. Why the shift Early 2026 expectations were for 2 cuts. But war-driven energy prices + inflation running hot pushed forecasts back. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh also looks more hawkish. Bottom line for you "Soon" = unlikely. Next move is more likely a hold, and some say a hike. If we do get cuts, most that still forecast them point to Sept-Dec 2026, not now. What matters: Rates will likely stay "higher for longer" unless unemployment spikes suddenly. This is why SonGoku and other finance creators keep stressing risk management and dividend income right now — borrowing costs aren’t dropping fast. Want me to show how rate cuts vs no cuts would affect SCHD, JEPI, and a mortgage? Google AI response Rate cuts are unlikely to happen soon. The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate at 3.5% to 3.75% during its July meeting, and persistent inflation concerns alongside energy costs mean markets are currently weighing the possibility of further rate holds or even hikes rather than near-term cuts. Major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs do not project actual rate cuts to begin until late 2027. Current Economic FactorsInflation Pressures: Elevated energy prices and sticky inflation metrics have caused the Fed to adopt a patient stance.Policy Stance: The federal funds target range remains steady at 3.50%–3.75% following a divided 9-3 vote in July.Market Outlook: Major forecasters expect policy rates to hold flat or face upward pressure before any easing cycle begins.

Yikes crazy.. $SPY $TLT $SGOV $SHY

Rising Bond Yields Are A Warning To The US Treasury And The Fed Also Mentions: $TLT $SHY $IEF https://talkmarkets.com/article/rising-bond-yields-are-a-warning-to-the-us-treasury-and-the-fed-1786971011

$TLT $IEF $SGOV $SHY https://x.com/treasurybonds1/status/2089031683244691807?s=46&t=8OxA83oihMxQOGi15o7Stg

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$SPY $TLT $SGOV $SHY As the Government tries to normalize and celebrate CPI of 3-4%, please understand… ~4% inflation is a disaster. Your purchasing power is cut in HALF every 17 years. You're being brutally robbed.

$SGOV $BIL $SHY $IEI $BND IEF

$SHY No shot I’m ignoring this

$SGOV $BIL $SHY $BND https://x.com/darkminer/status/2086159901571883047?s=46&t=8OxA83oihMxQOGi15o7Stg

Is America dollar going to repeat Germany in 1920’s hyper inflation event.. $SPY $TLT $SGOV $SHY