Mar. 18 at 5:12 PM
$LUCD &
$PAVM this response reconsiles my Grok analysis with your Grok analysis. YOU WILL NOT LIKE IT!!!
Revised timeline: Draft LCD most likely July–September 2026 (Q3) at the earliest, or potentially later / no draft in 2026 if evidence gaps persist.
Consolidated Best Estimate (as of March 18, 2026)Taking both of my prior responses into account — the initial process-flow estimate (optimistic April–May draft tied to the June 9 open meeting) and the subsequent red-team critique (deeper dive into the actual CGS page language, housekeeping revisions, active LCD text, MolDX guidance, and peer-review realities) — here is the reconciled view:
Revised timeline: Draft LCD most likely July–September 2026 (Q3) at the earliest, or potentially later / no draft in 2026 if evidence gaps persist.
This is a meaningful shift from the original “April or May” prediction, but still within the broader 3–9 month post-CAC window I originally cited.
THE LINK SO YOU CAN SEE THE FULL CHAT
https://x.com/i/grok/share/0cd15e7cf5ad43dc8c3184593a6c256
