Ambac Financial Group (AMBC)

$9.03 -0.05 (-0.55%)
Market Cap 395.62M
Revenue (ttm) 235.82M
Net Income (ttm) -556.45M
EPS (ttm) N/A
PE Ratio 0.00
Forward PE N/A
Profit Margin -235.96%
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.00
Volume 838,700
Avg Vol 852,022
Day's Range N/A - N/A
Shares Out 43.81M
Stochastic %K 40%
Beta 0.96
Analysts Strong Sell
Price Target $16.33

Company Profile

Octave Specialty Group, Inc. operates as a financial services holding company. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance; and Insurance Distribution. The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment provides specialty property and casualty program insurance with a focus on commercial and personal liability risks. The Insurance Distribution segment offers specialty property and casualty insurance distribution services, which include managing general agents, under...

Industry: Insurance - Specialty
Sector: Financial Services
Phone: 212 658 7470
Fax: 212 208 3414
Address:
One World Trade Center, 41st Floor, New York, United States
Gocker
Gocker May. 8 at 10:04 AM
$AMBC Part 2/2 Here are the true growth drivers for this company—the factors that others aren't showing you: - Niche markets: No one can replicate their model. - Proprietary AI technology: They do not need to rely on third-party systems. All company operations are scheduled to be fully migrated to this platform by mid-2026. - AI mitigates risk, which translates into higher profits. - The use of brokers ensures a "pay-for-performance" model. - The application of AI reduces costs, saves time, and boosts insurance sales volume. - Everspan underwrites 10% of each insurance policy; this means that for every $13 million in profit generated, the company can underwrite an additional $130 million in new policies the following month. As a result, the company is able to achieve accelerated growth. I made no picture of the facts from the earning call this time. Please you the old pictures from me and the link to the earning call. https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-octaves-q1-2026-shows-strong-growth-reduced-losses-93CH-4668523
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker May. 8 at 10:03 AM
$AMBC Part 1/2 I would like to invite you on a journey through the facts regarding this company—but first: Let me tell you something. I detest lazy people—those who merely spout nonsense without offering any facts to substantiate their hypotheses, yet are quick to have others' posts deleted. Quite simply, Stocktwits has so far failed to update the ticker symbol from the former AMBC to the current OSG. This company has generated earnings and successfully executed a turnaround. Period! You can verify this yourself by examining the changes in its equity. No "blah-blah"—no empty promises about where the share price will be tomorrow. I have already presented you with facts in the past. Prior to the earnings call, I stated that the company would surpass its 2028 target—specifically, $2 billion in written premiums—ahead of schedule. You can now read that very same information in the earnings call transcript: https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-octaves-q1-2026-shows-strong-growth-reduced-losses-93CH-4668523
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StocktwitsEarnings
StocktwitsEarnings May. 7 at 8:20 AM
$AMBC Q1 '26 Earnings Results & Recap AMBAC Financial Group Inc. reported total revenues of $104.17M for Q1 2026, increasing from $62.76M in Q1 2025, while net income attributable to shareholders was -$6.85M, an improvement from -$46.39M in the prior year.
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CHenry18
CHenry18 May. 6 at 10:11 PM
$AMBC really nice EPS beat
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outlawwillieandwaylon
outlawwillieandwaylon May. 6 at 8:44 PM
$AMBC Results are out for Octave, now OSG. Pretty good. We need stocktwits to update ticker as others have said before. Call tomorrow.
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker May. 3 at 8:11 AM
$AMBC This week osg will present the earning call. Here is a small overview of the development of the company, which now has 481 employees.
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Gocker
Gocker Apr. 29 at 6:31 PM
$AMBC 2026 Guidance positiv EPS
1 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker Apr. 23 at 3:48 PM
$AMBC This is a good overview for OSG Octave former AMBC You need to know the following: - A de novo company (MGA) will reach its break-even point in an average of 18 months, after which it will generate profits for Octave. This means that the 14 MGAs from 2024 will be profitable from the beginning of 2026 until mid-2026, because not all MGAs started at the beginning of the year, but rather some launched during 2024. For the 17 MGAs from 2025, the year 2027 should be considered the profit zone. Synergies and cross-sales can accelerate this process. For these reasons, Octave has very high growth.
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Gocker
Gocker Apr. 22 at 8:30 AM
$AMBC here you see the mga plattform growth - all MGA can be bought from Octave
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Gocker
Gocker Apr. 22 at 8:26 AM
$AMBC Here is the Timeline of Acquisition of Non-Controlling Interest (NCI) - 10% of BEATS are done you see here the timeline and you must add the organic growth rate. More MGA = more EBITDA - Only Cirrata pro forma Reveneue estimate 2026 $150-175 million, estimate 2028 $325 million - Only Cirrata pro forma EBITDA etimate 2026 $37,5-43,75, estimate 28 $100 million
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Latest News on AMBC
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Gocker
Gocker May. 8 at 10:04 AM
$AMBC Part 2/2 Here are the true growth drivers for this company—the factors that others aren't showing you: - Niche markets: No one can replicate their model. - Proprietary AI technology: They do not need to rely on third-party systems. All company operations are scheduled to be fully migrated to this platform by mid-2026. - AI mitigates risk, which translates into higher profits. - The use of brokers ensures a "pay-for-performance" model. - The application of AI reduces costs, saves time, and boosts insurance sales volume. - Everspan underwrites 10% of each insurance policy; this means that for every $13 million in profit generated, the company can underwrite an additional $130 million in new policies the following month. As a result, the company is able to achieve accelerated growth. I made no picture of the facts from the earning call this time. Please you the old pictures from me and the link to the earning call. https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-octaves-q1-2026-shows-strong-growth-reduced-losses-93CH-4668523
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker May. 8 at 10:03 AM
$AMBC Part 1/2 I would like to invite you on a journey through the facts regarding this company—but first: Let me tell you something. I detest lazy people—those who merely spout nonsense without offering any facts to substantiate their hypotheses, yet are quick to have others' posts deleted. Quite simply, Stocktwits has so far failed to update the ticker symbol from the former AMBC to the current OSG. This company has generated earnings and successfully executed a turnaround. Period! You can verify this yourself by examining the changes in its equity. No "blah-blah"—no empty promises about where the share price will be tomorrow. I have already presented you with facts in the past. Prior to the earnings call, I stated that the company would surpass its 2028 target—specifically, $2 billion in written premiums—ahead of schedule. You can now read that very same information in the earnings call transcript: https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-octaves-q1-2026-shows-strong-growth-reduced-losses-93CH-4668523
0 · Reply
StocktwitsEarnings
StocktwitsEarnings May. 7 at 8:20 AM
$AMBC Q1 '26 Earnings Results & Recap AMBAC Financial Group Inc. reported total revenues of $104.17M for Q1 2026, increasing from $62.76M in Q1 2025, while net income attributable to shareholders was -$6.85M, an improvement from -$46.39M in the prior year.
0 · Reply
CHenry18
CHenry18 May. 6 at 10:11 PM
$AMBC really nice EPS beat
0 · Reply
outlawwillieandwaylon
outlawwillieandwaylon May. 6 at 8:44 PM
$AMBC Results are out for Octave, now OSG. Pretty good. We need stocktwits to update ticker as others have said before. Call tomorrow.
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker May. 3 at 8:11 AM
$AMBC This week osg will present the earning call. Here is a small overview of the development of the company, which now has 481 employees.
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker Apr. 29 at 6:31 PM
$AMBC 2026 Guidance positiv EPS
1 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker Apr. 23 at 3:48 PM
$AMBC This is a good overview for OSG Octave former AMBC You need to know the following: - A de novo company (MGA) will reach its break-even point in an average of 18 months, after which it will generate profits for Octave. This means that the 14 MGAs from 2024 will be profitable from the beginning of 2026 until mid-2026, because not all MGAs started at the beginning of the year, but rather some launched during 2024. For the 17 MGAs from 2025, the year 2027 should be considered the profit zone. Synergies and cross-sales can accelerate this process. For these reasons, Octave has very high growth.
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker Apr. 22 at 8:30 AM
$AMBC here you see the mga plattform growth - all MGA can be bought from Octave
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker Apr. 22 at 8:26 AM
$AMBC Here is the Timeline of Acquisition of Non-Controlling Interest (NCI) - 10% of BEATS are done you see here the timeline and you must add the organic growth rate. More MGA = more EBITDA - Only Cirrata pro forma Reveneue estimate 2026 $150-175 million, estimate 2028 $325 million - Only Cirrata pro forma EBITDA etimate 2026 $37,5-43,75, estimate 28 $100 million
0 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker Apr. 10 at 5:52 PM
$AMBC Octave Specialty Group to Release First Quarter 2026 Results on May 6, 2026 https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260409264292/en/Octave-Specialty-Group-to-Release-First-Quarter-2026-Results-on-May-6-2026
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Gocker
Gocker Apr. 9 at 6:01 PM
$AMBC Octave Specialty Group Insiders Placed Bullish Bets Worth US$1.34M In the last twelve months, the biggest single purchase by an insider was when Independent Director Michael Price bought US$500K worth of shares at a price of US$6.54 per share. That means that an insider was happy to buy shares at above the current price of US$4.65. It's very possible they regret the purchase, but it's more likely they are bullish about the company. We always take careful note of the price insiders pay when purchasing shares. It is generally more encouraging if they paid above the current price, as it suggests they saw value, even at higher levels. full article 8d ago https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/octave-specialty-group-insiders-placed-113101122.html
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Gocker
Gocker Apr. 8 at 7:05 PM
$AMBC Shareholder equity is $833 million and they have $68 million in cash.
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Gocker
Gocker Apr. 8 at 5:48 PM
$AMBC Insider have acquired together over 45k shares of OSG since 2nd april
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Gocker
Gocker Apr. 8 at 5:45 PM
$AMBC OSG has acquired additional minority interests from its subsidiaries under Cirrata.
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Gocker
Gocker Mar. 28 at 4:48 PM
$AMBC i think, a lot of firms do now need the internetinsurance, the it-insurance from OSG in 200 countries.
1 · Reply
Gocker
Gocker Mar. 17 at 5:44 PM
$AMBC Hey Stocktwits the ticker is wrong. It is now $OSG and it was $AMBC. How long does you need to change $AMBC to $OSG? Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG) now was former AMBAC financial group
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Gocker
Gocker Mar. 13 at 11:03 AM
$AMBC Zacks.com featured highlights include Intuit, Goldman Sachs and Octave Specialty Octave Specialty Group Octave Specialty is a financial services holding company with two segments: Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance and Insurance Distribution. OSG’s expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 143.1%. Currently, the firm has a Zacks Rank #2. Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs provides financial services to corporations, institutions, governments and individuals worldwide. Its expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 10.3%. GS currently has a Zacks Rank of #2. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-best-earnings-acceleration-stocks-200500861.html
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Gocker
Gocker Mar. 9 at 9:18 AM
$AMBC This year will Everspan increase his profit, from sold insurance from the past. This is called ,,IBNR". So what is a ,,IBNR"? An IBNR is an estimate of an amount, you could pay for ;;insurance but not reportet", so this had not happend. After a period of time, you can account amounts of the IBNR as a gain (profit). This will beginn now.
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Gocker
Gocker Feb. 26 at 5:59 PM
$AMBC Octave Specialty Group Q4 Earnings Call Highlights Key Points Octave completed its first full quarter as a standalone specialty-insurance platform, with insurance distribution revenue up 65% year-over-year (14% organic) and the ArmadaCare acquisition — described as recurring, high-margin A&H (EBITDA >40%) — integrating ahead of schedule to deepen A&H exposure. Despite a Q4 net loss of $30 million, adjusted EBITDA improved to $1.4 million and distribution adjusted EBITDA rose ~33%; management’s 2026 targets include at least 20% organic growth in insurance distribution, ~ $40 million distribution adjusted EBITDA, consolidated adjusted net income ≈ $0.50/share, and corporate adjusted expenses under $30 million. Octave is rolling out AI-driven underwriting (proprietary “Hammurabi” for medical stop-loss) to boost pricing and efficiency, while Everspan’s repositioning produced a Q4 combined ratio of 99.4% (below 100%) and is positioned for controlled growth in 2026. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/octave-specialty-group-q4-earnings-091817546.html
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Gocker
Gocker Feb. 26 at 5:13 PM
$TIPT i wait for the approval of the sale and the money. I invest now in $AMBC (it is now Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG)) and the CEO said, the will have an positiv EBITDA of $0,50/share this year for the shareholder. I like this insurance story as i like the story from Tiptree. Link from the earning call https://seekingalpha.com/article/4874087-octave-specialty-group-inc-osg-q4-2025-earnings-call-transcript
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Gocker
Gocker Feb. 26 at 4:50 PM
$AMBC Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call February 24, 2026 For our Insurance Distribution segment, we are expecting organic revenue growth of at least 20% and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $40 million for the full year 2026. For our Specialty Insurance segment, which includes Everspan, we expect gross written premiums of around $410 million and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $7.5 million for the full year 2026. Corporate adjusted expenses are expected to be below $30 million for the year. And on a consolidated basis, we expect to generate adjusted net income of around $0.50 per share for 2026. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4874087-octave-specialty-group-inc-osg-q4-2025-earnings-call-transcript One catalyst for this performance is the official launch of Hammurabi, our proprietary AI platform built specifically around the medical stop-loss business. We are also actively utilizing and developing data and AI tools across our platform, which we believe will help us to rapidly scale and differentiate our business model into the future.
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