AltEV
Oct 3, 11:00 PM
$NIO If we look at the remaining three months of the year — historically NIO’s strongest months — although this year we should be somewhat cautious about expecting the usual jump in the final part of the year, the company expects more than 40,000 monthly deliveries in Q4.
I wouldn’t expect that momentum in October, especially with this week also coinciding with the holiday period. But as an average, perhaps around 25,000 monthly deliveries from its main brand?
If that were the case:
NIO 2026 = ~257,000 projected deliveries for the group’s main brand.
Could Q4 be distributed like this?
35K / 40K / 50K = 125K total Q4 deliveries.
With an ASP of around
$41K:
Vehicle revenue =
$5.125B
Adding “other revenue,” and just to round the numbers, let’s assume around
$475M in other revenue:
Q4 revenue = ~
$5.5B
2026 revenue = ~
$19.5B
If we take
$19.5B in annual revenue and a market cap of
$8.3B, that gives us a Price-to-Sales ratio of:
P/S = 8.3 / 19.5 = 0.426
So, P/S ≈ 0.43x.
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